EU countries call for 100% renewable energy by 2050
The European Union’s 28 energy ministers had their first public debate on the European Commission’s 2050 climate plan on Monday (4 March) but five member states derided the lack of a 100% renewable energy scenario among the EU executive’s proposed options.
The Commission’s Clean Planet for All strategy, which debuted in November 2018, offers EU countries eight different emission-cutting scenarios to make Europe’s economy compliant with the Paris Agreement on climate change by mid-century.
EU member states are expected to dissect the plan and decide what option they want to adopt this year.
Luxembourg’s energy minister, Claude Turmes, kicked off proceedings by telling his colleagues that “you can forget six out of eight of the scenariosâ€, dismissing them as inadequate to stick to the Paris deal.
Turmes also criticized the other two options, which aim for net-zero emission cuts by 2050, for lacking transparency and urged the Commission to reveal the figures and statistics behind its conclusions.
“The Juncker Commission is suggesting that we should build 50 or 60 new nuclear reactors by 2050. It’s not a good neighborly policy with which to threaten EU citizens,†said the former member of the European Parliament from Luxembourg.
He added that the lack of a 100% renewable energy option is also problematic and suggested that an honest debate about the EU’s future energy and climate policy cannot be held while the strategy is “incompleteâ€.
A few member states, including Spain, have already announced that they are aiming for a completely renewable electricity system, but Turmes was referring to a 100% renewable energy system, which includes heating, cooling, transport and other drains on power.
The Luxembourger was joined in his call by his Austrian, Irish, Lithuanian and Spanish counterparts, while Finnish minister Kimmo Tiilikainen said his country aims to use its stint in charge of the EU presidency later this year to adopt conclusions.
EU governments effectively have carte blanche to do as they wish with the Commission’s document, as it is not a legally binding text. EURACTIV understands that Luxembourg or any other member states could propose the renewables option themselves if they put the work in.
Next top model
Some energy experts have actually already done that work for the Commission and modeled their own examples of pan-European and even global energy systems that run exclusively on renewables.
Danish academic Dr. Brian Vad Mathiesen is one of those experts and he told EURACTIV that he was “genuinely surprised that the Commission did not include this option in the first placeâ€.
He also agreed with Claude Turmes’ assessment that it will be difficult to have a proper debate about 2050 without a 100% scenario, questioning why the EU executive “did not go the full Monty. A lot of technology is going to change by 2050.â€
Mathiesen also said that the Commission’s first six scenarios can be ignored and that its two most ambitious scenarios, which focus on the circular economy and negative emissions tech like carbon capture, are essentially not that different to one another.
“To have a debate on this you need to look at full renewables penetration of transport, heating, cooling. Everything. There need to be more options,†he concluded.
Researchers from Finland’s Lappeenranta University of Technology (LUT) recently unveiled their own model of a 100% system, which would involve 20 independent European regions or “islands†connected together through a “super gridâ€.
Study author Christian Breyer welcomed that EU ministers now have the idea on their radars and told EURACTIV that “100% renewable energy is the only option†because nuclear energy costs and developing carbon-capture-storage are too expensive.
He added that the LUT study is just one example of a whole raft of peer-reviewed studies that show how clean energy systems can be rolled out.
At the energy council’s Monday meeting, several ministers mentioned the concept of ‘energy prosumers’. Breyer’s study includes the effect of citizens that both produce and consume power in its model. The findings showed that it would lower costs across the continent.
Monday’s Energy Council meeting was the second chance for ministers to share their views on the Commission’s draft strategy after a competition council began the process earlier this year. The third open debate on the 2050 plan will be held on Tuesday (5 March) when environment ministers hash out the draft strategy.
EU leaders will meet in Romania on 9 May and are expected to put their cards on the table ahead of a landmark UN summit in September on climate change.
Article Sources -Â EURACTIV.com
- Published in Renewable Energy Sector News
Solar and wind to account for half of the world’s generation by 2050: BNEF
New Delhi: Wind and solar power are set to surge to account for almost 50 per cent of world generation by 2050 – on the back of precipitous reductions in cost, and the advent of cheaper batteries that will enable electricity to be stored and discharged to meet shifts in demand and supply, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF).
The research agency today published its annual long-term analysis of the future of the global electricity system – New Energy Outlook (NEO) 2018. This year’s outlook highlights the huge impact that falling battery costs will have on the electricity mix over the coming decades. BNEF predicts that lithium-ion battery prices, already down by nearly 80 per cent per megawatt-hour since 2010, will continue to tumble as electric vehicle manufacturing builds up through the 2020s.
“We see $548 billion being invested in battery capacity by 2050, two thirds of that at the grid level and one third installed behind-the-meter by households and businesses,†said Seb Henbest, head of Europe, Middle East and Africa for BNEF and lead author of NEO 2018.
NEO 2018 sees $11.5 trillion being invested globally in new power generation capacity between 2018 and 2050, with $8.4 trillion of that going to wind and solar and a further $1.5 trillion to other zero-carbon technologies such as hydro and nuclear.
“Coal emerges as the biggest loser in the long run. Beaten on cost by wind and PV for bulk electricity generation, and batteries and gas for flexibility, the future electricity system will reorganize around cheap renewables – coal gets squeezed out,†said Elena Giannakopoulou, head of energy economics at BNEF.
The role of gas in the generation mix will evolve, with gas-fired power stations increasingly built and used to provide back-up for renewables rather than to produce so-called base-load, or round-the-clock, electricity. BNEF sees $1.3 trillion being invested in new capacity to 2050, nearly half of it in ‘gas peaker’ plants rather than combined-cycle turbines. Gas-fired generation is seen rising by 15 per cent between 2017 and 2050, although its share of global electricity declines from 21 per cent to 15 per cent.
Fuel burn trends globally are forecast to be dire in the long run for the coal industry, but moderately encouraging for the gas extraction sector. NEO 2018 sees coal burn in power stations falling 56 per cent between 2017 and 2050, while that for gas rises 14 per cent.
BNEF now sees global electricity sector emissions rising 2 per cent from 2017 to a peak in 2027, and then falling 38 per cent to 2050. However, this would still mean electricity failing to fulfill its part of the effort to keep global CO₂ levels below 450 parts per million – the level considered by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to be consistent with limiting the rise in temperatures to less than two degrees Celsius.
Other highlights of NEO 2018 include high penetration rates for renewables in many markets — 87 per cent of total electricity supply in Europe by 2050, and 55 per cent for the U.S., 62 per cent for China and 75 per cent for India. It also highlights a shift to more ‘decentralization’ in some countries such as Australia, where by mid-century consumer PV and batteries account for 43 per cent of all capacity.
Article Source:Â https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/renewable/solar-and-wind-to-account-for-half-of-the-worlds-generation-by-2050-bnef/64650246
- Published in Renewable Energy Sector News